Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.084494 0.099147 0.115514 0.135143 0.158037 0.183893 0.215310
2025-12-21 0.062967 0.081242 0.103593 0.132913 0.170344 0.216516 0.277806
2025-12-28 0.050622 0.071043 0.098106 0.136531 0.189638 0.260416 0.361918
2026-01-04 0.041965 0.063567 0.094356 0.141315 0.211034 0.310640 0.463750
2026-01-11 0.034930 0.056753 0.089999 0.144139 0.229940 0.360525 0.574306
2026-01-18 0.028942 0.050178 0.084582 0.144095 0.244251 0.405789 0.685963
2026-01-25 0.023454 0.043206 0.077099 0.139125 0.249508 0.437387 0.781151
2026-02-01 0.018997 0.037048 0.069736 0.132792 0.251016 0.462593 0.869475
2026-02-08 0.016000 0.032911 0.065115 0.130368 0.258799 0.499609 0.984606
2026-02-15 0.013453 0.029108 0.060373 0.126741 0.263494 0.531422 1.095014
2026-02-22 0.011860 0.026909 0.058338 0.128023 0.277901 0.583831 1.253984
2026-03-01 0.010372 0.024628 0.055701 0.127524 0.288449 0.630006 1.407622
2026-03-08 0.008793 0.021912 0.051836 0.124123 0.293251 0.667336 1.554401
2026-03-15 0.007650 0.019979 0.049366 0.123457 0.304214 0.720261 1.746332
2026-03-22 0.006964 0.019026 0.049007 0.127749 0.327673 0.805614 2.029170
2026-03-29 0.006400 0.018261 0.048968 0.132854 0.354185 0.902946 2.359122
2026-04-05 0.005804 0.017280 0.048187 0.135923 0.376230 0.993504 2.689497
2026-04-12 0.005167 0.016035 0.046465 0.136148 0.390921 1.068338 2.993775
2026-04-19 0.004444 0.014374 0.043261 0.131615 0.391817 1.107613 3.211207
2026-04-26 0.003786 0.012751 0.039831 0.125721 0.387732 1.132845 3.395090
2026-05-03 0.003333 0.011668 0.037770 0.123488 0.393940 1.187852 3.674378
2026-05-10 0.002910 0.010585 0.035484 0.120091 0.395987 1.231402 3.928618
2026-05-17 0.002654 0.010011 0.034695 0.121334 0.412839 1.321859 4.342370